Profitable high-volume bettor makes a large Over bet

Each market will resolve to "Over" if the fight between Randy Brown and Jacobe Smith at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan, scheduled for October 31, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to "Under" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: "Over 1.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 2. "Under 1.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 2. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve "50-50." If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond November 14, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
A $4,365 Over bet dwarfs the market's $680 in 24-hour volume, and the wallet has a large, profitable trading history despite no clear win-rate edge.
Total
$4,365
Trades
1
Win Rate
56%
Wallet P&L
+$2,236,164
Analysis
- The $4,365 wager is more than six times the market's 24-hour volume.
- This wallet has resolved over 8,600 bets and is up about $1.9 million lifetime.
- The bet is on Over at 46¢, with the market currently near 50¢.
Copy Trade
Buy Over at 46¢
Detected November 1, 2026 at 1:47 AM