Large bet moved a thin market

In the upcoming Serie A game between Frosinone Calcio and Torino FC, scheduled for November 1 at 9:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Frosinone Calcio and Torino FC combine to score 2 or more goals in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time). If the combined first-half total is less than 2 goals, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time. Second-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).
A $2,679 Under bet exceeded the market's recent volume and coincided with a 38-point downward price move in a thin market, though the wallet's record does not show clear odds-adjusted edge.
Total
$2,679
Trades
1
Win Rate
70%
Wallet P&L
+$12,255,863
Analysis
- A $2,679 Under bet was more than the market's recent trading volume.
- The price moved 38 points toward Under within five minutes, but the thin order book may exaggerate the move.
- The wallet has a large historical profit, though its 70% win rate is below its 77¢ average winning price.
Copy Trade
Buy Under at 83¢
Detected November 1, 2026 at 2:49 PM