Large quiet-market No bet

Spotify releases an annual report of its most streamed artist (see: https://newsroom.spotify.com/2025-12-03/wrapped-top-artists-songs-albums-podcasts-audiobooks/). This market refers to the most streamed Spotify artist in the US for 2026. This market will resolve according to the name of the artist listed by Spotify as the top artist in the US of 2026. If multiple artists tie for top artist in the US for 2026, this market will resolve according to the artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. If Spotify does not release who their top artist in the US for 2026 is by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify, typically released as part of Spotify Wrapped. Note: This market and these products have not been endorsed by Spotify. Any references to Spotify, Spotify charts, streaming data, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Spotify and Polymarket. Spotify and related marks are the property of Spotify AB and its group companies.
A sizable sell of Yes in a quiet market converts to a contrarian No position, though the wallet's mixed record limits confidence.
Total
$2,179
Trades
1
Win Rate
45%
Wallet P&L
+$91,439
Analysis
- A $2,179 sell of Yes is equivalent to buying No at about 14¢.
- The trade was over 32 times the market’s reported 24-hour volume, making it a notable move in a quiet market.
- The wallet is up about $90,851 lifetime but has won only 45% of resolved bets, so its record is mixed.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 14¢
Detected November 2, 2026 at 4:04 AM