Profitable serial cross-market trader
This market will resolve to the number of unique individuals who officially hold the office of Prime Minister of the United Kingdom at any point between market creation and December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve based on the number of unique individuals to hold the position. For example, if an individual is appointed twice within the specified timeframe, they will only count once for resolution. To count for resolution, an individual must have been officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. An individual’s time of appointment will have no bearing on this market so long as the individual officially serves as Prime Minister within the specified timeframe. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market For clarity, Keir Starmer will count as one Prime Minister for the purposes of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A profitable trader with a strong history placed a sizable contrarian bet against the market’s 90% Yes price, with serial cross-market activity providing additional context.
Total
$8,431
Trades
1
Win Rate
82%
Wallet P&L
+$94,278
Analysis
- This bettor has won 82% of 84 resolved trades and is up about $94,000.
- They put $8,431 against Yes at 89¢ while the market currently prices Yes at 90%.
- The wallet has traded across 37 events and 47 markets, with about $354,000 in total activity.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 11¢
Detected November 2, 2026 at 2:19 PM