Sharp bettor fading favorite

In the upcoming MLB game between the Boston Red Sox and St. Louis Cardinals, scheduled for April 11 at 7:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox" if the Boston Red Sox win the game. This market will resolve to "St. Louis Cardinals" if the St. Louis Cardinals win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
A high-volume serial cross-market bettor with a strong 74% win rate sold Red Sox at 78¢, which translates to buying Cardinals at 22¢ in a liquid game market now trading 14¢.
Total
$8,890
Trades
1
Win Rate
74%
Wallet P&L
+$313,736
Analysis
- This bettor wins 74% of 278 resolved trades and is up about $179k lifetime.
- They made an $8.9k move against the heavy favorite, equivalent to buying Cardinals at 22¢.
- The market is liquid and active, but Cardinals have since dropped to 14¢, creating a cheaper follow price than the trader got.
Copy Trade
Buy St. Louis Cardinals at 22¢
Detected April 12, 2026 at 1:03 AM