Proven bettor in thin market

This market refers to the Valorant match between Formulation Gaming and LEO in the VCL NORTH//EAST Group A, initially scheduled for April 13 at 1:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "Formulation Gaming" if Formulation Gaming win the match against LEO. This market will resolve to "LEO" if LEO win the match against Formulation Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
A proven high-volume sports bettor with 623 resolved bets and a 70% win rate made a nearly $2k buy into a relatively thin esports market, suggesting this is worth monitoring despite the modest composite score.
Total
$1,955
Trades
1
Win Rate
71%
Wallet P&L
+$313,389
Analysis
- This bettor has 623 resolved bets, wins 70% of them, and is up over $15k lifetime
- They trade across 30 related events and just put nearly $2k into a market with only $5.4k of 24-hour volume
- Bought at 85¢ in a thin book, showing confidence even with only about 15¢ of upside left
Copy Trade
Buy Formulation Gaming at 85¢
Detected April 13, 2026 at 5:24 PM