89% win-rate thin-market bet

This market refers to the Dota 2 Grand final match between Vici Gaming and Roar Gaming in the DreamLeague China Closed Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 14 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Vici Gaming" if Vici Gaming win Game 1 against Roar Gaming. This market will resolve to "Roar Gaming" if Roar Gaming win Game 1 against Vici Gaming. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
A proven sharp sports/esports bettor with an 89% win rate made a $1.1k buy that was over 7x this market’s prior 24h volume in a thin book, suggesting conviction rather than routine activity.
Total
$1,093
Trades
1
Win Rate
89%
Wallet P&L
+$53,846
Analysis
- This bettor wins 89% of their trades and is up $53.8k across 151 resolved bets
- Their $1.1k buy was about 7.2x the market’s prior 24-hour volume, a strong conviction signal in a thin market
- They bought Vici Gaming at 84¢, paying up for a heavy favorite rather than taking a cheap flyer
Copy Trade
Buy Vici Gaming at 84¢
Detected April 14, 2026 at 8:29 AM