New wallet caught early move

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket semifinal 2 match between MOUZ and Aurora Gaming in the IEM Rio Group B, initially scheduled for April 14 at 4:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win the match against Aurora Gaming. This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win the match against MOUZ. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
A very new wallet joined a 3-wallet one-sided push into MOUZ at 52¢, and the market has since moved sharply to 74%, suggesting early directional edge despite limited wallet history.
Total
$1,084
Trades
1
Win Rate
80%
Wallet P&L
+$19,943
Analysis
- This 1-day-old wallet bought MOUZ at 52¢ and the market is now 74%
- Three wallets all bet MOUZ in the same window, adding up to about $3.3k of one-way flow
- The bet landed well below current odds, implying they saw a clear mispricing before the move
Copy Trade
Buy MOUZ at 52¢
Detected April 14, 2026 at 10:00 PM