82% winner cross-market thesis

This market refers to the Dota 2 Grand final match between Heroic and South America Rejects in the DreamLeague South America Closed Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 14 at 5:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Heroic" if Heroic win Game 4 against South America Rejects. This market will resolve to "South America Rejects" if South America Rejects win Game 4 against Heroic. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 4 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 4. If Game 4 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
A proven profitable bettor with an 82% win rate is making a cross-market esports thesis bet after a sharp price move, which is notable despite the modest size.
Total
$1,303
Trades
1
Win Rate
76%
Wallet P&L
+$125,713
Analysis
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $30k overall across 156 bets
- They put $8.5k across 3 related match markets, suggesting a coordinated view on the series
- Bought Heroic at 50¢ after a fast 20-point move, implying they still saw value near even odds
Copy Trade
Buy Heroic at 50¢
Detected April 15, 2026 at 1:17 AM