3-wallet favorite fade

This market refers on the tennis match between Tatjana Maria and Elsa Jacquemot in the Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole, scheduled for April 14 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tatjana Maria' if Tatjana Maria advances against Elsa Jacquemot. This market will resolve to 'Elsa Jacquemot' if Elsa Jacquemot advances against Tatjana Maria. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Three wallets sold the 88% favorite after a sharp 56-point run-up, and one is a high-volume cross-market bettor with a 69% win rate, making this a notable coordinated fade of an overextended price.
Total
$4,959
Trades
3
Analysis
- Three wallets all bet against the 88% favorite within minutes of each other for about $5.0k total.
- The market had already surged 56 points in a day, so selling at 89¢ looks like a bet that the favorite became overpriced.
- One of the wallets has a 69% win rate across 338 resolved bets and has traded 128 events for $577k total.
Copy Trade
Buy Elsa Jacquemot at 11¢
Detected April 15, 2026 at 2:00 PM