91% win-rate underdog bet

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket semifinal 2 match between Natus Vincere and HOTU in the IEM Rio Group B, initially scheduled for April 15 at 11:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win the match against HOTU. This market will resolve to "HOTU" if HOTU win the match against Natus Vincere. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
A highly profitable serial trader with a 91% win rate put $38.3k on HOTU at 20¢ during an extreme pre-match volume spike, making this a notable contrarian esports position worth watching.
Total
$38,347
Trades
1
Win Rate
90%
Wallet P&L
+$1,021,847
Analysis
- This bettor wins 91% of their trades and is up $1.38M across 192 resolved positions.
- They put $38.3k on HOTU at 20¢, a clear underdog price that implies they see much better than a 1-in-5 chance.
- The trade landed during a 543x volume spike, suggesting sharp money was moving into this match before it started.
Copy Trade
Buy HOTU at 20¢
Detected April 15, 2026 at 2:58 PM