Late live-sports whale

In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for April 15 at 7:00PM ET: If the Stars win, the market will resolve to "Stars". If the Sabres win, the market will resolve to "Sabres". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
A very large bettor put $24.6k on Sabres at 44¢ seconds before a live sports market resolved, suggesting a strong real-time edge despite a mediocre raw win rate.
Total
$24,643
Trades
3
Win Rate
45%
Wallet P&L
+$757,230
Analysis
- Bought $24.6k of Sabres at 44¢ in three trades placed within minutes of resolution.
- This wallet has over 1,300 resolved bets and is still up $1.19M overall, suggesting real edge despite a 45% raw win rate.
- The market saw a 53.7x volume spike and Stars had already moved sharply higher, so this bet was a clear contrarian hit at the close.
Copy Trade
Buy Sabres at 44¢
Detected April 15, 2026 at 11:13 PM