3-wallet fade of favorite
This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Altmaier and Alex Molcan in the BMW Open, originally scheduled for April 15, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Altmaier' if Daniel Altmaier advances against Alex Molcan. This market will resolve to 'Alex Molcan' if Alex Molcan advances against Daniel Altmaier. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Three wallets sold the heavy favorite in size during a sharp volume spike, and one of them is a proven high-volume winner with a 74% win rate across 221 markets.
Total
$25,734
Trades
3
Analysis
- Three wallets piled into the same fade for $25.7k, effectively buying Daniel Altmaier around 27-35¢.
- One bettor wins 74% of resolved markets and has made $160k profit across 221 markets in the same event-trading style.
- They bet during an 11x volume spike as the market swung hard, suggesting a coordinated view that the 82¢ favorite was overpriced.
Copy Trade
Buy Daniel Altmaier at 27¢
Detected April 16, 2026 at 12:20 PM