Sharp trader fading Over

In the upcoming Copa Libertadores game between SE Palmeiras and CS Cristal, scheduled for April 16 at 6:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if SE Palmeiras and CS Cristal combine to score 3 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 3, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on conmebollibertadores.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
A proven profitable sports trader with a 73% win rate sold Over at 86¢, which translates to buying Under around 14¢ on a binary market and suggests a strong contrarian view.
Total
$2,732
Trades
1
Win Rate
73%
Wallet P&L
+$190,535
Analysis
- This bettor has won 73% of 120 resolved trades and is up $78k lifetime.
- They sold Over at 86¢, which is equivalent to buying Under at 14¢ before the market moved to 35¢.
- The bet was about $2.7k in a reasonably liquid market, so this looks like a deliberate mispricing call rather than random activity.
Copy Trade
Buy Under at 14¢
Detected April 16, 2026 at 11:35 PM