91% win-rate esports whale

This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 1 match between Xtreme Gaming and Natus Vincere in the PGL Wallachia Group Stage, initially scheduled for April 18 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Xtreme Gaming" if Xtreme Gaming win the match against Natus Vincere. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win the match against Xtreme Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
A highly profitable serial sports trader with a 91% win rate just placed a nearly $100k bet on Natus Vincere during an extreme pre-match volume spike.
Total
$99,167
Trades
1
Win Rate
90%
Wallet P&L
+$1,021,847
Analysis
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up about $1.1M across 195 settled positions.
- They just put nearly $100k on Natus Vincere at 46¢, a big, concentrated position from a proven winner.
- The market saw an extreme pre-match volume surge, suggesting sharp money was moving into this match.
Copy Trade
Buy Natus Vincere at 46¢
Detected April 18, 2026 at 4:57 AM