82% win-rate sharp

This market will resolve to "John Castaneda" if John Castaneda is officially declared the winner of the fight against Mark Vologdin at UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott, scheduled for April 18, 2026. It will resolve to "Mark Vologdin" if Mark Vologdin is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 2, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
A proven sharp bettor with an 82% win rate and nearly $890k profit just sold Mark Vologdin at 50¢, which translates to buying John Castaneda around 50¢ in a very liquid UFC market.
Total
$1,597
Trades
1
Win Rate
81%
Wallet P&L
+$916,494
Analysis
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up about $890k across 408 settled bets.
- They trade across 75 markets in 66 events, suggesting a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet.
- Selling Mark Vologdin at 50¢ is equivalent to buying John Castaneda at 50¢, right after a fast 18-point move in this market.
Copy Trade
Buy John Castaneda at 50¢
Detected April 18, 2026 at 10:46 PM