Here's where the sharpest Polymarket bettors are positioned on the markets settling today, plus the biggest plays from the past week. We flag which side the money is leaning, not where it'll land.
On the 2026 Peruvian presidential race, larger bettors are leaning toward a Fujimori win at a 70% implied chance. It resolves today, so the market is treating her as the clear favorite.
View market →This market asks whether the US and Iran sign a permanent peace deal by today. Despite a small 'Yes' lean, the 11% implied chance shows the money expects no deal in time.
View market →On whether Trump announces the US blockade of the Strait of Hormuz is lifted by today, bettors lean 'No' at a 21% implied chance. The smart money sees the standoff dragging on.
View market →One large bet sits on this NHL game between the Carolina Hurricanes and Vegas Golden Knights, with Vegas at a 49% implied chance. It's effectively a toss-up the sharps haven't committed hard to either way.
View market →On the 2026 Formula 1 Monaco Grand Prix, bettors are taking Charles Leclerc to win at a 31% implied chance. It's a hometown-favorite play, but the field is still favored over him.
View market →In this international soccer friendly, money is firmly on Argentina to beat Honduras at a 90% implied chance. Little suspense here — the sharps see a comfortable win.
View market →On the 2026 Seoul mayoral race in South Korea, bettors leaned 'No' on incumbent-favorite Oh Se-hoon at just a 13% implied chance. The smart money saw him losing this one.
View market →This NBA game between the New York Knicks and San Antonio Spurs drew the week's heaviest action — nearly $294K across 63 trades — with the Spurs at a 47% implied chance. The volume signals real conviction on a close game.
View market →In this MLB matchup between the San Francisco Giants and Milwaukee Brewers, over $276K of action leaned toward Milwaukee at a 58% implied chance. The Brewers were the side the sharp money preferred.
View market →At UFC Fight Night, money backed Brendan Allen over Edmen Shahbazyan in their middleweight main-card fight at a 70% implied chance. The sharps saw Allen as the clear favorite.
View market →In this Dota 2 esports playoff series at BLAST Slam, over $212K of action leaned toward Team Yandex against BetBoom Team at a 55% implied chance. Heavy volume for a tight best-of-three.
View market →