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June 9, 2026

Today's smart-money calls: Spurs-Knicks, a Bitcoin line, and two SC primaries

Here's where the sharp money landed on markets resolving today, plus the bets that drew the most action this week. We name the lean and the market's implied odds — no predictions of our own.

Resolving Today

SC Senate primary: money backs Graham as GOP nominee

Leaning: Yes (87% implied)

South Carolina's Republican Senate primary settles today, and the flow leans Yes on Lindsey Graham winning the nomination at 87% implied odds. The favorite, with the money agreeing.

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SC governor primary: sharps doubt Pamela Evette

Leaning: No (26% implied)

In South Carolina's Republican primary for governor, the bet leans No on Pamela Evette winning, with the market giving her just 26% implied odds. Smart money is fading her chances.

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NBA: heavy money on Knicks as underdogs vs Spurs

Leaning: Knicks (25% implied)

Tonight's Spurs–Knicks game drew nearly $145K across 43 trades, the day's busiest market. Despite New York sitting at just 25% implied odds, the flow leans toward the Knicks pulling the upset in San Antonio.

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WNBA: money sides with Vegas Aces over Seattle

Leaning: Las Vegas Aces (89% implied)

In tonight's WNBA matchup between the Seattle Storm and Las Vegas Aces, the bet leans heavily on the Aces at 89% implied odds. Money riding the clear favorite.

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Crypto: bet leans yes on Bitcoin holding above $62,000

Leaning: Yes (68% implied)

This daily crypto market asks whether Bitcoin closes above $62,000 today. The money leans Yes at 68% implied odds.

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Earnings: contrarian bet that GameStop beats

Leaning: Yes (27% implied)

GameStop reports quarterly earnings after the close today. The notable bet leans Yes on a beat — a contrarian call, since the market gives that just 27% implied odds.

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Top This Week

Geopolitics: big money split on Iran closing its airspace

Leaning: Yes (53% implied)

Whether Iran would close its airspace by June 8 was the week's most-watched market, with $63K across 22 trades amid US–Iran tensions. The odds sat near a coin flip, leaning Yes at 53%.

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Geopolitics: longshot bet on a US-Iran peace deal

Leaning: Yes (17% implied)

This market asks whether the US and Iran sign a permanent peace deal by June 15. Money leans Yes, but it's a clear longshot at 17% implied odds.

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NBA: nearly $294K traded on Knicks-Spurs, leaning Spurs

Leaning: Spurs (47% implied)

This earlier Knicks–Spurs game was the week's biggest pot, with $294K across 63 trades. The flow leaned narrowly toward San Antonio at 47% implied odds.

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UFC: money favors Belal Muhammad over Bonfim

Leaning: Belal Muhammad (58% implied)

In the UFC Fight Night welterweight main-card bout between Belal Muhammad and Gabriel Bonfim, the money leaned to Muhammad at 58% implied odds.

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Esports: smart money on G2 over Karmine Corp in LoL

Leaning: G2 Esports (69% implied)

In this League of Legends match between G2 Esports and Karmine Corp, $121K poured in across 32 trades on Game 4. The bet leaned to G2 at 69% implied odds.

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Today's smart-money calls: Spurs-Knicks, a Bitcoin line, and two SC primaries | PolySpotter