Here's where Polymarket's smart money is positioned on events resolving today, plus the strongest signals from this past week. Sides and implied odds are exactly as the market priced them.
Traders are backing Yes at 68% implied that the US and Iran hold a diplomatic meeting by today. The bet reads as confidence that the ceasefire track keeps moving toward direct talks.
View market →In Tunisia vs Japan at the FIFA World Cup, the money leans toward a Japan win at 68% implied. Sharps are siding with the clear favorite here.
View market →Ecuador vs South Korea at the World Cup is close to a coin flip, but smart money tilts to an Ecuador win at 53% implied.
View market →In Boston Red Sox vs Seattle Mariners, the sharp side is Boston at 48% implied — a bet on the slight underdog to take the game.
View market →At the WTA Nottingham Open, Marie Bouzkova faces Emma Navarro, and the money is on Navarro at 42% implied — backing the underdog to pull the upset.
View market →In the Counter-Strike 2 IEM Cologne Major playoffs, FURIA meets Team Falcons in a best-of-five, and smart money takes underdog FURIA at 40% implied.
View market →In Iran vs New Zealand at the World Cup, the heavy lean was No on a New Zealand win, priced at 84% implied. Sharp money strongly expected Iran to come out ahead.
View market →On the total-goals line for Turkiye vs Paraguay, smart money leaned Over 1.5 goals at 51% implied — a bet the match would not stay low-scoring.
View market →Despite Brazil being favored to rout Haiti, the money went contrarian on Under 3.5 goals, priced at 34% implied — a bet the scoreline stays capped.
View market →