Six markets resolve today and we tracked where the biggest bettors leaned — from a New York House primary to World Cup soccer, MLB, cricket, and a Dota 2 series. Below is each read, plus the heaviest-volume markets from the past week.
In the Democratic primary for New York's 13th Congressional District, bettors narrowly favor Rep. Adriano Espaillat winning the nomination, with the Yes side priced at 51%. Close to a coin flip, but the money tilts his way.
View market →In the World Cup soccer match between Norway and Senegal, $273K across 63 trades sides with Norway to win, priced at 66%. The heavy two-way volume makes this one of today's most-backed soccer reads.
View market →In the World Cup soccer match between Jordan and Algeria, the money is betting against an Algeria win (a draw or a Jordan victory), an outcome the No side prices at just 34%. The market still sees an Algeria win as more likely (~66%), so this is a contrarian lean.
View market →In the MLB game between the Boston Red Sox and Colorado Rockies, the money leans Under 10.5 combined runs, with the Under priced at 44%. The market slightly favors the Over, so this is a contrarian read on a lower-scoring game.
View market →In the ICC Women's T20 World Cup cricket match between New Zealand and Scotland, the money is firmly on New Zealand, priced at 87%. This is a single large bet on a strong favorite rather than a contested read.
View market →In the Dota 2 series between OG and Grind Back, bettors favor OG to take Game 2, priced at 65%. The lean lines up with the market favorite.
View market →The week's heaviest market — $1.79M across 102 trades — leaned Morocco to win their World Cup soccer match against Scotland, with the Yes side priced at 58%.
View market →More than $1.1M in volume backed Portugal to win their World Cup soccer match, with the Yes side priced at 65%. One of the week's most-traded soccer markets.
View market →Bettors put $446K behind Argentina to win their World Cup soccer match against Algeria, with the Yes side priced at 64%.
View market →In the World Cup soccer match between New Zealand and Egypt, the money leaned Over 2.5 total goals, priced at 57% — a bet on a higher-scoring game.
View market →In the VCT Masters London playoff series between Paper Rex and Leviatán Esports, the money sided with Leviatán to win the best-of-five, even as the underdog at 42% implied odds — a contrarian read.
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