Here's where Polymarket's sharpest bettors are positioned on the markets resolving today, plus the biggest tracked flows of the past week. The percentages are the implied odds on the exact side the smart money bought.
In this FIFA World Cup match, the sharpest flow landed on Under 1.5 total goals, priced at 65% — a lean toward a tight, low-scoring game with one goal or fewer between the two sides.
View market →Smart money bought Switzerland to beat Canada in their World Cup fixture at just 40% implied — an underdog bet that sees more value in the Swiss than the market does.
View market →In this MLB game, the tracked money leans to the Baltimore Orioles over the Los Angeles Angels, with a Baltimore win priced at 57%.
View market →At the WTA Lexus Eastbourne Open, smart money is on Panna Udvardy at 40% implied to upset the favored Jelena Ostapenko.
View market →In this MLB matchup, sharp money sides with the San Diego Padres over the Atlanta Braves, with San Diego a clear favorite at 75%.
View market →On the World Cup spread for Scotland vs. Brazil, the lean is Brazil to win by two or more goals (Brazil -1.5), priced at 50%.
View market →The week's largest tracked flow backed the Netherlands to beat Sweden in the World Cup, with a Dutch win priced at 57%.
View market →Smart money faded Croatia in its World Cup game against Panama, buying No on a Croatia win at 51% implied — a bet on a draw or a Panama upset rather than the favorite.
View market →Heavy flow backed the United States to beat Australia in the World Cup, with a US win priced at 62%.
View market →Smart money faded Germany against Ivory Coast in the World Cup, buying No on a Germany win at 62% implied — leaning toward a draw or an Ivory Coast upset.
View market →Contrarian flow bets MicroStrategy will not sell any Bitcoin before June 30, taking No at just 31% implied against a market that leans roughly 69% toward a sale.
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