Here's where Polymarket's sharpest bettors are putting real money today, across World Cup soccer, ATP and WTA tennis, and Dota 2 esports. Each pick names the exact side the smart money bought and the market's implied price for it, plus the biggest flows of the week.
In the World Cup match between Turkiye and the United States, the market prices a draw around 59%, but smart money is taking the other side — buying 'No draw' at a 41% implied price, betting the game ends decisively.
View market →At the Mallorca Championships (ATP tennis), sharps are backing Ethan Quinn over Nuno Borges, taking him at a 47% implied price — treating a slight underdog as the better value.
View market →In Paraguay vs Australia at the World Cup, smart money is on Paraguay to win, buying Yes at just a 35% implied price — a contrarian bet on the underdog.
View market →At the Lexus Eastbourne Open (WTA tennis), sharps favor Tatjana Maria over Jelena Ostapenko, backing her to win at a 67% implied price.
View market →On Norway vs France at the World Cup, smart money is betting the match ends level — buying Yes on a draw at just a 20% implied price, a deliberate long shot.
View market →In the Dota 2 esports series between Natus Vincere (NAVI) and MOUZ, sharps back NAVI to take Game 2, at a 54% implied price — leaning slightly to the favorite.
View market →The week's biggest flow — over $674K — landed on Argentina to win their World Cup match against Austria, with smart money buying Yes at a 67% implied price.
View market →Smart money piled $445K onto Egypt to beat New Zealand at the World Cup, backing Yes at an 84% implied price — a strong favorite the sharps still trusted.
View market →On Uruguay vs Cote d'Ivoire at the World Cup, smart money is fading Uruguay — buying 'No, Uruguay won't win' at a 53% implied price, leaning toward a draw or an upset.
View market →In France vs Iraq at the World Cup, smart money expects a low-scoring game, taking Under 3.5 total goals at a 71% implied price.
View market →In the WNBA game between the Los Angeles Sparks and Toronto Tempo, sharps lean Under 179.5 combined points — a near-coinflip at a 50% implied price.
View market →