Here's where the sharp money moved on Polymarket this week. The loudest signal: a heavy lean on Bilibili Gaming over T1 in League of Legends, alongside World Cup, Wimbledon, and MLB bets resolving today.
In this FIFA World Cup match, the smart money is on Colombia to beat Ghana, a win priced around 68%. Roughly $271K has traded across 49 bets favoring the Colombians.
View market →At Wimbledon, the money leans firmly to Iga Swiatek beating Alexandra Eala, with a Swiatek win priced near 77%. Nearly $190K rode on the favorite.
View market →In this MLB game, sharps take the Toronto Blue Jays over the Seattle Mariners, but a 52% implied win makes it essentially a coin flip. Treat it as a slight tilt, not a strong lean.
View market →The bet is that England advances to the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, with 'Yes' priced around 79%. A confident, though not locked, read on the Three Lions getting through.
View market →A contrarian play in this World Cup match: the smart money is betting France does NOT win outright against Paraguay, a longshot side priced at just 17%. That points to a possible upset or draw for the favorites.
View market →The strongest signal of the day: in the League of Legends Mid-Season Invitational playoffs, sharp money is heavily on Bilibili Gaming to beat T1 in a best-of-five, with the Bilibili win priced around 85%. Over $320K traded across 89 bets.
View market →The week's biggest pot — nearly $600K across 118 bets — leaned to Argentina NOT winning outright against Cape Verde, a side priced at 41% (so Argentina to win sat near 59%). Sharps were hedging against the favorites.
View market →In the Netherlands vs Morocco World Cup knockout, sharps backed Morocco to advance, priced near 52% — a near-even call tilting to the underdog. Over $367K traded.
View market →Sharp money favored Paraguay to advance past Germany at the World Cup, with Paraguay priced around 68% — a clear lean toward the upset. Over $300K across 71 bets.
View market →The smart money was firmly on Norway to beat Côte d'Ivoire in this World Cup match, with a Norway win priced around 86%. Nearly $300K rode on the favorite.
View market →In Game 3 of this League of Legends series, sharps took Team Liquid to beat T1 — a heavy underdog priced at just 16%. Small money, but a bold contrarian call.
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