World Cup soccer: smart money fades France vs. Sweden
Leaning: No (28% implied)
The week's second-largest flow, $384K, bet against France beating Sweden. The No side sits at just 28% implied — so the market still makes France a ~72% favorite, but sharps are taking the other side.
View market →World Cup soccer: sharps back Mexico past Ecuador
Leaning: Yes (72% implied)
Across 71 trades and $353K, smart money backed Mexico to beat Ecuador, siding with the market's 72% implied favorite. This one is sharps riding the chalk, not fighting it.
View market →Wimbledon tennis: money on Hurkacz over Tommy Paul
Leaning: Hubert Hurkacz (71% implied)
At Wimbledon, smart money favored Hubert Hurkacz to beat Tommy Paul in their match, backing him as the 71% implied favorite on $142K of volume.
View market →World Cup soccer: sharps bet Cabo Verde upset of Argentina
Leaning: Cabo Verde (23% implied)
The standout contrarian call: smart money bet on Cabo Verde to advance past Argentina, taking the long-shot side priced at just 23% implied. That's real money on a heavy underdog going through.
View market →LoL: money on Bilibili Gaming to beat T1
Leaning: Bilibili Gaming (57% implied)
In a League of Legends series, smart money backed Bilibili Gaming to win Game 3 against T1. The market treats it as close to a coin flip, pricing Bilibili at 57%.
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