Here's where the sharp money moved this week, plus two markets resolving today. Every lean below names the exact side the smart money bought and its market-implied odds.
Roughly $11K across three trades leans No on whether shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz — the key Persian Gulf oil chokepoint — returns to normal by July 7. The No side is priced at 77%, so smart money is betting the route likely stays disrupted through today's deadline.
View market →In the FIFA World Cup match between the USA and Belgium, about $111K of flow leans Yes — that Belgium wins — even though a Belgium win is priced at just 35%. Smart money is taking the underdog to beat the US outright.
View market →On the FIFA World Cup market for whether Spain beats Austria, smart money took the No side, which is priced at only 12%. It's a contrarian longshot betting the heavy favorite fails to win the match outright.
View market →In the FIFA World Cup 'team to advance' market for England vs. DR Congo, the flow backs England, priced at 46% to go through. Sharps are leaning to the English side in a matchup the market sees as close to a coin flip.
View market →In the FIFA World Cup 'team to advance' market for Belgium vs. Senegal, about $318K of flow backs Senegal, priced at 43% to advance. Smart money is leaning to the underdog to knock out Belgium.
View market →On the FIFA World Cup market for whether Portugal vs. Croatia ends in a draw, smart money is on Yes. A draw is priced at 59%, and the flow agrees the tie most likely finishes level.
View market →In this League of Legends series, smart money backs G2 Esports to win Game 4 against Top Esports. G2 is priced at 77%, making it the market's clear favorite for the map.
View market →