No markets resolve today, so here's where the smart money moved this week: five standout bets across the FIFA World Cup and League of Legends' Mid-Season Invitational. Several lean contrarian, fading favorites like Argentina and the United States.
The FIFA World Cup spread has Spain favored to beat Austria by two or more goals, but big bettors backed Austria (+1.5) at 51% implied. They expect Austria to keep it within one goal or win outright.
View market →Argentina is favored at roughly 59% to beat Cape Verde in the FIFA World Cup, but the smart money took the other side: No on an Argentina win, at 41% implied. That's a bet on a draw or an upset.
View market →The United States is a heavy favorite at about 70% to beat Bosnia and Herzegovina in the FIFA World Cup, yet sharp bettors backed No on a US win at 30% implied. It's a contrarian call for a draw or an upset.
View market →In the FIFA World Cup match between Portugal and Croatia, big bettors leaned Under 2.5 total goals at 52% implied. They're expecting a tight, defensive game that finishes with two goals or fewer.
View market →In this League of Legends best-of-5 at the Mid-Season Invitational playoffs, sharp bettors piled onto Bilibili Gaming to beat T1, priced at 85% implied. That's a strong favorite by esports standards, and the flow backed it hard.
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