Four markets resolve today across the FIFA World Cup and tennis, while the week's biggest bets run from the Fed to the Strait of Hormuz. Here's which way the smart money is leaning.
In the England vs. Argentina FIFA World Cup match, sharp money is on Over 2.5 total goals at 40% implied — a bet on a high-scoring game even though the market itself leans under.
View market →On the question of whether England win this FIFA World Cup match against Argentina, sharp money bought No at 65% implied — wagering England fails to win outright.
View market →In the Rome tennis match between Francesca Jones and Federica Urgesi, sharp money favors Jones at 69% implied.
View market →For total corners in the England vs. Argentina FIFA World Cup match, sharp money backs Over 8.5 at 46% implied.
View market →Smart money is heavily on No at 89% implied, betting oil-shipping traffic through the Iran-linked Strait of Hormuz won't return to normal by August 31.
View market →On whether LeBron James plays for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27, sharp money leans No at 55% implied.
View market →Sharp money is on Yes at 57% implied, backing Kylian Mbappe to finish as top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
View market →Despite just 20% implied odds, sharp money is on Yes — backing Argentina to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup outright.
View market →On whether the Fed hikes interest rates, sharp money is firmly on No at 80% implied, expecting no hike.
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