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July 22, 2026

Today's smart money: Lynx favored, Mercedes cruising, a 'No' on Iran's uranium

One WNBA game resolves today, alongside the week's biggest bets across MLB, Formula 1, UFC, and a geopolitical wager on Iran's enriched uranium. Here's where the sharp money is leaning.

Resolving Today

WNBA: smart money on Lynx to top Storm

Leaning: Minnesota Lynx (81% implied)

In tonight's WNBA matchup, the sharp money sides with the Minnesota Lynx over the Seattle Storm, with the Lynx favored at 81% implied. It resolves today.

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Top This Week

Geopolitics: smart money bets US won't get Iranian uranium

Leaning: No (85% implied)

On whether the US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31, the sharp money leans No — betting it won't happen — with the No side priced at 85% implied.

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MLB: sharps back underdog Giants vs. Braves

Leaning: San Francisco Giants (44% implied)

The smart money is on the San Francisco Giants to beat the Atlanta Braves, even though the market prices the Giants as underdogs at just 44% implied.

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Formula 1: smart money backs Mercedes for constructors' title

Leaning: Yes (87% implied)

In Formula 1, the sharp money leans Yes on Mercedes winning the 2026 Constructors' Championship, a heavy favorite at 87% implied.

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UFC: big bet spans two Fight Night bouts

Leaning: Traded outcome (not specified) (46% implied)

A large bet landed on a UFC Fight Night market covering Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis and Alberto Montes vs. Tommy McMillen. The specific outcome backed isn't specified, and it's priced near a coin flip at 46% implied.

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Today's smart money: Lynx favored, Mercedes cruising, a 'No' on Iran's uranium | PolySpotter