Here's where informed money is positioning across today's resolutions and this week's most active markets — from a tennis underdog and a Fed rate parlay to Middle East geopolitics. The leans below name the exact side sharps bought and its implied price.
At the Mubadala Citi DC Open, sharp bettors are taking Alex Michelsen against Jack Draper, siding with the underdog at a 44% implied price. Nearly $38K moved across just four trades ahead of today's match.
View market →In Toronto Blue Jays vs. Washington Nationals, smart money is on the Over 8.5 runs, a near coin-flip priced at 52%. About $17K came in over four trades before first pitch today.
View market →In a novelty market on what happens first, smart money is on No — that China won't invade Taiwan before the video game GTA VI releases — with that side sitting at a 50/50 price. Over $52K has traded across three positions.
View market →Smart money is taking the No side on a permanent US–Iran peace deal landing by July 31, an outcome priced around 14%. With $28K across eleven trades, it's the week's most active pick.
View market →Smart money likes Darline Graham Nordone to win South Carolina's Republican Senate special primary, backing Yes at a 71% implied price. A single large $12K position drove the signal, which resolves August 11.
View market →Smart money leans Yes that Donald Trump announces the US blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, a 58% implied bet. Roughly $11K has traded across five positions.
View market →Smart money is on Yes for the Fed to pause at all three of its next decisions — April, June and July — an outcome already priced at 90%. Nearly $45K moved across six trades ahead of the July 29 resolution.
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