Here's where Polymarket's smart money is positioned this week, from a possible US blockade on Iran to Bitcoin's run at $65,000. One market resolves today: Internacional vs. Flamengo in Brazil's Serie A.
In today's Brazilian Serie A match, SC Internacional host CR Flamengo. The smart money leans No on a Flamengo win, priced at 52% implied — pointing toward an Internacional result or a draw.
View market →This week's largest pool asks whether the US will announce a blockade on Iran by July 31. The smart money leans Yes — that the blockade is declared — at 56% implied.
View market →A separate market tracks whether the US and Iran hold another diplomatic meeting by July 31. The smart money leans Yes on a meeting happening, at 64% implied.
View market →In the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, the smart money leans No on Flávio Bolsonaro winning — priced at 76% implied that he does not take the presidency.
View market →On whether Bitcoin reaches $65,000 before July ends, the smart money leans Yes — that it clears the level — at 51% implied, essentially a coin flip.
View market →On whether the Fed raises rates by its September 2026 meeting, the smart money leans Yes — expecting a hike — at 57% implied.
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