Four markets resolve today, alongside the week's heaviest smart-money flow. Here's the concrete read on which side the informed money is taking and why.
Roughly $20K of smart money is on Bev Craig winning the Greater Manchester mayoral election — the Yes side, at 83% implied. The race resolves today.
View market →In today's MLB game between the Texas Rangers and Tampa Bay Rays, the money favors Tampa Bay to win, at 58% implied. About $23K has gone through the market.
View market →In this UEFA Europa League match between RSC Anderlecht and Hammarby, the money leans against an Anderlecht win — the No side, at 57% implied.
View market →Smart money backs Maccabi Tel Aviv to win their UEFA Europa League match against Sheriff Tiraspol — the Yes side, at 75% implied.
View market →The week's biggest flow, over $32K, leans No — betting the U.S. does not invade Iran before 2027 — at 71% implied.
View market →Smart money is on No — no U.S. anti-cartel operation outside the U.S. by July 31 — but that side is priced at just 15%, so the market still sees an operation as likely.
View market →The market asks whether the Fed leaves interest rates unchanged after its September meeting; smart money leans No — expecting a rate change — at 56% implied.
View market →Smart money doubts LeBron James plays for the Cleveland Cavaliers in the 2026-27 NBA season — the No side, at 58% implied.
View market →Smart money is betting Ethereum does not fall to $1,400 in July — the No side, at 69% implied.
View market →