MLB: sharps lean Cleveland over Arizona
Leaning: Cleveland Guardians (59% implied)
In today's MLB matchup between the Arizona Diamondbacks and Cleveland Guardians, smart money sides with Cleveland, priced as a modest 59% favorite.
View market →August 1, 2026
Smart money today: MLB, esports, and the Iran markets
Here's where the big, sharp bets are landing right now — three games resolving today, plus the week's most-notable positions in politics, geopolitics, and macro.
Resolving Today
LoL: smart money on Vivo Keyd Stars vs FURIA
Leaning: Vivo Keyd Stars (45% implied)
In this CBLOL regular-season League of Legends series between Vivo Keyd Stars and FURIA Esports, the big bets back Vivo Keyd Stars even though the market prices them as a 45% underdog.
View market →Valorant: sharps back Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid
Leaning: Karmine Corp (46% implied)
In the VCT EMEA Valorant match between Karmine Corp and Team Liquid, smart money favors Karmine Corp despite a 46% implied price that leans against them.
View market →Top This Week
US-Iran: bettors doubt a uranium handover this year
Leaning: No (85% implied)
On whether the US obtains Iranian enriched uranium, smart money is firmly on No, priced at 85% — a bet the transfer won't happen.
View market →2026 US midterms: money bets Democrats sweep Congress
Leaning: Yes (44% implied)
This market asks whether Democrats win both the Senate and House in the 2026 US midterms; smart money leans Yes, though the market prices that outcome at just 44%.
View market →US-Iran: money doubts the blockade ends by Aug 7
Leaning: No (84% implied)
On whether the US announces an end to its Iranian blockade by August 7, smart money backs No at 84% — betting the blockade stays in place.
View market →Fed: smart money bets on a 2026 rate hike
Leaning: Yes (63% implied)
On whether the Federal Reserve hikes rates in 2026, the big bets lean Yes, priced at 63% — positioning for a hike this year.
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