Two markets resolve today and four more are drawing the week's heaviest smart-money flow. Here's which side the sharps are taking on each.
Big bettors are lined up behind Taylor Fritz to beat Thiago Agustin Tirante at the National Bank Open tennis tournament, with the market pricing Fritz at 83%. The flow leans firmly toward the favorite.
View market →In this Dota 2 best-of-three between Team Liquid and 1win at the 1win Essence Playoffs, smart money leans to 1win at 56%. It's a slim edge in a tight match.
View market →On whether the US announces an end to its blockade of Iran, big bettors lean Yes — that it gets lifted — even though the market prices that at just 45%. The smart money is fading the odds here.
View market →In the 2026 US midterms balance-of-power market, sharp bettors lean Yes on Democrats taking both the Senate and the House, priced at 46%. It's a bet against a split or Republican-held Congress.
View market →On whether the US and Iran reach an effective ceasefire by the deadline, big bettors lean No — betting it doesn't happen — with the market split at 50%. The smart money sides slightly against a deal.
View market →On whether the Fed hikes rates by its September 2026 meeting, sharp bettors lean No — no hike — with the market pricing that outcome at 49%. It's a near coin-flip the smart money is taking.
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