Today's sharp money is skeptical: it's fading Marco Rubio's 2028 Republican nomination and any near-term Iran shakeup, while backing Vinicius Junior to stay at Real Madrid. Two MLB games also resolve this afternoon.
In today's MLB game between the Pittsburgh Pirates and Milwaukee Brewers, a single $28k bet leans to the Milwaukee Brewers at 56% implied. It resolves this afternoon.
View market →The MLB matchup between the New York Mets and Cleveland Guardians is a near coin flip, with smart money landing on the Cleveland Guardians at 50% implied across a few sizable trades that resolve today.
View market →In the 2028 Republican presidential nomination market, smart money is backing No — that Marco Rubio will not win the nomination — with the No side priced at 73% implied.
View market →On whether Iran sees a leadership change by December 31, smart money leans No — no change — with the No side priced at 82% implied, a wager the current leadership stays in place.
View market →Smart money is backing No on Strait of Hormuz shipping traffic returning to normal by September 30, with the No side priced at 82% implied — a bet that the disruption persists.
View market →This week's most active market: across eleven trades, smart money leans Yes that Vinicius Junior stays at Real Madrid, at 82% implied — betting against a transfer.
View market →On the 99th Academy Awards, smart money is backing No — that Dune: Messiah will not collect the most Oscar nominations — with the No side priced at 88% implied.
View market →