Politics: smart money fades Rubio for 2028 GOP nod
Leaning: No (73% implied)
On whether Marco Rubio wins the 2028 Republican presidential nomination, the sharp money is on No at 73% implied — a bet against Rubio landing the nomination.
View market →Geopolitics: bettors doubt Strait of Hormuz returns to normal
Leaning: No (82% implied)
On whether Strait of Hormuz shipping traffic returns to normal by September 30, the money leans No at 82% implied — pricing in continued disruption at the Iran oil chokepoint.
View market →MLB: sharps bet the over in Astros vs. Giants
Leaning: Over (46% implied)
On the total-runs line for the MLB game Houston Astros vs. San Francisco Giants (set at 8.5), the smart money took the Over at 46% implied — a slight underdog bet on a high-scoring game, and this week's most active MLB market.
View market →Soccer: money says Vinicius Junior stays at Real Madrid
Leaning: Yes (82% implied)
This week's most-traded market, at 11 trades: on Vinicius Junior's future, bettors lean Yes — he stays at Real Madrid — at 82% implied.
View market →Finance: bettors doubt GameStop acquires eBay
Leaning: No (89% implied)
On whether GameStop acquires eBay, the smart money is firmly on No at 89% implied — a strong lean against the deal happening.
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