Here's where Polymarket's sharpest bettors are leaning right now — five markets resolving today, plus the biggest smart-money moves of the week. Implied odds reflect the exact side the money took.
Nearly $96K moved on the Cincinnati Open qualifying match between Marcos Giron and Henrique Rocha, and the smart money sides with Giron at 68% implied.
View market →In the Cincinnati Open qualifying match between Aleksandar Vukic and Darwin Blanch, bettors favor Vukic at 60% implied — a modest edge on about $30K of flow.
View market →At the National Bank Open, Rafael Jodar faces Brandon Nakashima and the smart money leans Jodar at 67% implied.
View market →In the UEFA Super Cup between Paris Saint-Germain and Aston Villa, the flow leans No on Aston Villa winning at 80% implied — betting Villa doesn't come out on top against PSG.
View market →This Esports World Cup Group B map drew the day's strongest signal — about $59K across 11 trades — with the smart money on Legacy over NIP at 58% implied in the single-map BO1.
View market →On whether the U.S. invades Iran before 2027, roughly $41K leans No at 88% implied — the smart money is confident there's no American invasion.
View market →In the Los Angeles mayoral election, the smart money takes Nithya Raman to win — a contrarian Yes bet at just 37% implied, backing the underdog.
View market →The week's biggest pool — over $600K — leans No on Manchester City winning the 2026-27 Premier League at 71% implied, betting the title goes elsewhere.
View market →At UFC 330, the welterweight main-card bout pits Islam Makhachev against Ian Machado Garry, and the money leans Makhachev at 76% implied.
View market →On whether Lauri Saaskilahti wins the 2026 WSOP Main Event, the smart money leans No at 73% implied — betting Saaskilahti falls short of the title.
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