Here's where the smart money is positioning today, from a US-Iran ceasefire deadline to the Cincinnati Open. Below that, the biggest bets we tracked across the week.
The market asks whether an effective US-Iran ceasefire is in place by today. Smart money leans No, betting the ceasefire doesn't hold by the deadline, with that side priced at 50% implied — essentially a coin flip.
View market →In the MLB game between the Miami Marlins and Cincinnati Reds, the total is set at 7.5 runs. Smart money took the Over at 52% implied, betting on a higher-scoring game.
View market →For the MLB matchup between the San Diego Padres and Cleveland Guardians, the total is 7.5 runs. Smart money backed the Over even though that side is priced at just 46% implied — a contrarian bet on more scoring.
View market →In the ATP Cincinnati Open tennis match between Alex Michelsen and Jesper de Jong, smart money is on Michelsen at 82% implied — a heavy favorite.
View market →In the Cincinnati Open tennis match between Elvina Kalieva and Oleksandra Oliynykova, smart money leans toward Kalieva at 67% implied.
View market →In a Counter-Strike 2 esports match at the Esports World Cup (Group C), smart money backs MOUZ over FUT Esports at 64% implied.
View market →This market asks whether the New People party gains the most seats in Russia's next parliamentary election. Smart money is firmly on No at 86% implied, betting the party won't top the seat count.
View market →On whether Benjamin Netanyahu becomes Israel's next prime minister after the next election, smart money leans No at 70% implied — betting against his return.
View market →In the UFC 330 bout between Mackenzie Dern and Gillian Robertson, smart money is on Dern at 64% implied.
View market →On whether GameStop acquires eBay by year-end, smart money is firmly on No at 89% implied, betting the deal doesn't happen.
View market →This market asks whether AI company Anthropic posts the largest IPO by market cap in 2026. Smart money leans No at 73% implied, betting another company takes the top spot.
View market →