← All digests
August 17, 2026

Sharp money: NAVI in the LEC, a coin-flip in Cincinnati

Two markets resolve today — a Cincinnati Open tennis match and an LEC League of Legends series — and both drew outsized bets relative to how few trades hit them. This week's biggest positions also include a fade of Manchester City's title odds and a Dota 2 favorite at The International.

Resolving Today

Tennis: big single bet on Cobolli in Cincinnati

Leaning: Flavio Cobolli (48% implied)

One trade worth about $11.4k landed on Flavio Cobolli to beat Alexander Blockx at the Cincinnati Open, with his side priced at roughly 48% — essentially a coin flip. We lean Cobolli: it's a sizeable position taken at no discount to the field, resolving today.

View market →

LoL: smart money on Natus Vincere over Team Heretics

Leaning: Natus Vincere (69% implied)

Around $29.6k across three trades backed Natus Vincere in their best-of-three against Team Heretics in the LEC regular season, with NAVI priced near 69%. We lean Natus Vincere — this is the heaviest flow of anything resolving today, and it's all on one side of the favorite.

View market →

Top This Week

Soccer: a $22.7k fade of Manchester City's EPL title

Leaning: No (71% implied)

A single trade of about $22.7k took the No side on Manchester City winning the 2026-27 English Premier League, with No priced around 71% — implying City are roughly a 29% shot. We lean No: someone was willing to tie up real money for a full season to say City don't lift the trophy.

View market →

Dota 2: sharp bet on TEAM VISION at The International

Leaning: TEAM VISION (78% implied)

One trade of roughly $11.8k backed TEAM VISION against BoomBoys in a best-of-three in The International playoffs, with VISION priced near 78%. We lean TEAM VISION — the money is paying up for the favorite rather than hunting the longshot, which resolves Thursday.

View market →
Sharp money: NAVI in the LEC, a coin-flip in Cincinnati | PolySpotter