Three sports markets resolve today with real size behind them, and two longer-dated bets where the flow sides against the headline name. Here's where the money actually went.
The largest flow resolving today, roughly $22.1K over six trades on Brandon Nakashima vs Daniil Medvedev at the Cincinnati Open. We lean Medvedev, priced at 57%, so the buyers are paying up only modestly for the side they want.
View market →Just two trades moved about $19.7K on Fenerbahçe SK vs. Olympique Lyonnais in the Champions League — a lot of size from very few hands. We lean Fenerbahçe to win the match, with that outcome priced at 48%.
View market →Our highest-scoring alert resolving today: about $12.3K across five trades on the Cincinnati Open match between Joao Fonseca and Christopher O'Connell. We lean Fonseca to win, a side the market prices at 51% — essentially a coin flip.
View market →One trade worth about $11K says Benjamin Netanyahu will not be Israel's next prime minister after the next election. We lean that way too: the "will not be" side is already priced at 70%, and the market resolves in late October.
View market →A single $10K trade in the "largest IPO by market cap in 2026" market takes the view that Anthropic will not have the year's biggest IPO. We lean the same way, with that side priced at 73% and the question settling at year end.
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