Seven markets drew notable money: two resolve today, five are the week's largest flow. Here's where the smart money went and which way we lean.
A single $14.6k trade landed on Tommy Paul to beat Flavio Cobolli at the Cincinnati Open, a side the market prices at 60%. We lean Paul, and it resolves today.
View market →One $19.4k bet backed G2 over FURIA in a best-of-three at the Esports World Cup playoffs, taking a side the market prices at just 42%. We lean G2, against the odds.
View market →The week's largest single flow, $42k, went to No on a final US-Iran nuclear deal by December 31, 2026, with that No side priced at 70%. We lean no deal.
View market →A $19.5k trade took No on a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire happening by December 31, 2026, a side already priced at 82%. We lean toward no ceasefire in 2026.
View market →$17.4k bought Yes on the Israel-Iran ceasefire continuing through December 31, with that side priced at 65%. We lean toward the ceasefire holding.
View market →Two trades totaling $10.4k took No on Republicans winning Ohio's 2026 Senate race, a side priced at 48% — close to a coin flip. We lean Republicans lose it.
View market →Four separate trades worth $13.5k bought Yes on Anthropic going public by October 31, 2026, with Yes priced at 69%. We lean toward the IPO landing in time.
View market →