Four events resolve today, led by $46K of notable flow on Galatasaray in Turkey's Süper Lig. Elsewhere this week, big bets landed on the Ukraine front line, Israeli politics, and a Michigan Senate race.
Roughly $46K across seven trades backed Galatasaray SK to beat Erzurumspor FK in Turkey's Süper Lig, the largest and highest-scoring flow on today's board. The market prices a Galatasaray win at 67%, and the smart money is on that side.
View market →A single $25,200 trade took the Washington Nationals against the Miami Marlins — the whole position in one order, with no supporting flow behind it. That side is priced at just 42%, so this is a deliberate underdog bet.
View market →One $17,500 trade backed the Milwaukee Brewers against the Atlanta Braves, priced at 57% — a favorite, but sized like conviction rather than a hedge. We lean Milwaukee.
View market →Two trades worth $11.4K backed Arsenal FC to beat Coventry City FC, with the market already pricing an Arsenal win at 83%. Paying up at that price signals confidence rather than a value hunt.
View market →Two trades totaling $24.3K — the largest position of the week — backed Russia capturing all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026. The market is a coin flip at 52%, and this flow leans yes.
View market →A single $11.5K trade backed Benjamin Netanyahu being out by the end of 2026, and it carries the highest conviction score of the week. The market puts that at 47%, so the smart money is taking the slightly-against-the-odds side.
View market →One $11.0K trade backed the Democrats to win Michigan's 2026 Senate race, where the market already favors them at 66%. It is a straightforward vote of confidence in the favorite ahead of the midterms.
View market →Two trades worth $21.1K bet against a draw in Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC on Saturday, with no-draw priced at 75%. The lean is that one of these two takes all three points.
View market →A single $11.2K trade backed Coco Gauff over Marta Kostyuk at the Cincinnati Open, with Gauff priced at 57%. That is a narrow favorite getting a sizeable one-shot vote.
View market →