Six markets resolve today, led by $33k of smart money on Liverpool and two US Open matches. The week's highest-scoring alert is a bet that the US-Iran ceasefire survives September.
$33.3k across three trades on Liverpool FC to win their Premier League match with Ipswich Town, at 65% implied. It's the largest position resolving today, and we lean the same way: Liverpool.
View market →$18.9k across three trades backs Jiri Lehecka to beat Stefanos Tsitsipas in their US Open men's match, with Lehecka at 63% implied. We lean Lehecka.
View market →A single $18.3k trade on Jessica Pegula to beat Leylah Fernandez at the US Open, with Pegula priced at 84%. That's conviction on a clear favorite rather than a value hunt, and we lean Pegula.
View market →One $10.8k trade backs Como 1907 to beat Genoa CFC, priced at 54% — close to a coin flip, with the buyer taking a firm side. We lean Como.
View market →$10.3k across three trades on VfB Stuttgart not winning their Bundesliga match against 1. FC Köln, with that side priced at just 34%. We lean against a Stuttgart win — the cheap side here.
View market →$26.4k over two trades on Vitality to beat FURIA in a best-of-three at the BLAST Open Porto playoffs, priced at 64%. Second-biggest position on today's board; we lean Vitality.
View market →A single $26.3k trade on JD Vance not winning the 2028 US presidential election, with that side at 75% — meaning the market gives Vance roughly one chance in four. We lean no.
View market →$17k across two trades says there is no Israeli military action against Lebanon on September 14, with that side priced at 89%. Real size on an already-heavy favorite; we lean no.
View market →The week's highest-scoring alert: $10.2k over three trades betting the US ceasefire with Iran continues through September 30, at 85% implied. We lean yes — it holds.
View market →A $17.6k trade on Newcastle United failing to beat AFC Bournemouth tomorrow, with that side priced at 55%. We lean against a Newcastle win.
View market →$17.1k in one trade on Manchester City not winning the 2026-27 English Premier League, priced at 71%. It's a long hold — the market doesn't settle until the season ends in May 2027 — and we lean no.
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