Six NFL games resolve today, and the biggest money is split between favorites covering and underdogs keeping it close. Later this week we're watching Brazil's first-round presidential vote, the Russia-Ukraine front line and a Sunday-night Eagles-Bears game.
Five trades totaling about $177K went on the Detroit Lions to beat the New York Jets by 7 or more. The market prices Detroit covering at 52%, so this is a near coin flip that the smart money is leaning into, and we lean Lions.
View market →About $110K across nine trades went on the New Orleans Saints side of the Raiders -3.5 spread, betting that Las Vegas does not win by 4 or more. That side is priced at 75%, so it's the more expensive bet, and we lean Saints.
View market →Three trades totaling about $108K went on the Over 48.5 total points in Arizona Cardinals vs. San Francisco 49ers. The Over is priced at 51%, a pure coin flip, and we lean Over.
View market →About $108K over four trades bet that the Kansas City Chiefs won't beat the Miami Dolphins by 11 or more. The Dolphins side of the spread is priced at 54%, and this is today's highest-scoring signal, so we lean Dolphins to cover.
View market →Four trades totaling about $102K backed the Pittsburgh Steelers to win outright against the Cincinnati Bengals. The market gives Pittsburgh only a 39% chance, which makes this a real underdog bet, and we lean Steelers.
View market →About $44K across three trades bet that the Buffalo Bills won't beat the Los Angeles Chargers by 8 or more. The Chargers side of the spread is priced at 52%, and we lean Chargers to cover.
View market →About $32K over five trades bet that Flávio Bolsonaro finishes second in the first round of Brazil's 2026 presidential election. The market already prices that at 89%, so this is a big bet on a heavy favorite, and we lean Yes, Bolsonaro finishes second.
View market →About $31K across four trades bet that Russia does not capture Bilytske, a town in Ukraine, by September 30, 2026. That outcome is priced at 80%, and we lean No capture.
View market →One trade of about $17K bet that Russia will not take military action against a European Union country by December 31, 2026. The market prices that at 85%, and we lean No.
View market →One trade of about $21K backed the Philadelphia Eagles to win against the Chicago Bears. The market gives Philadelphia a 64% chance, and we lean Eagles.
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