Nothing on our list resolves today, so here are the five biggest smart-money plays of the week. They cover the Ohio Senate race, Russia and the EU, two NFL games and a Counter-Strike match.
Two trades put about $38.9k on Democrats winning Ohio's 2026 Senate race. The market gives that 41%, so these buyers are betting on an underdog. We lean Democrats.
View market →One trade of about $16.9k bet that Russia will not take military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026. The market prices No at 85%, which leaves roughly a 15% chance it happens. We lean No.
View market →One trade of about $30.5k bet that the Steelers and Browns combine for fewer than 38.5 points. The market treats that as close to a coin flip, with the Under at 51%. We lean Under.
View market →Three trades totaling about $15.2k bet that the Rams beat the Eagles by 4 or more points. The market prices that at 46%, so the buyers think it's underpriced. We lean Rams -3.5.
View market →This was our highest-scoring alert of the week: one trade of about $12k on G2 to beat Natus Vincere in a best-of-three ESL Pro League group-stage match. The market gives G2 a 53% chance, just above even. We lean G2.
View market →