Today's biggest bets: a $73k fade on Marine Le Pen for the French presidency and a $48k bet that Anthropic has the biggest IPO of 2026. Two Counter-Strike qualifier matches that settle today drew a combined $44k.
One $24.9k trade backed Phantom to beat fnatic in today's best-of-three Counter-Strike 2 match in the 1win Private Club #2 Closed Qualifier Playoffs. Phantom is priced at only 37% to win, so this is a big bet on an upset.
View market →One $19.4k trade backed K27 to beat Metizport in today's best-of-three Counter-Strike 2 match in the 1win Private Club #2 Closed Qualifier Playoffs. The market already makes K27 the favorite at 67% implied, and this bet goes with it.
View market →Three trades totaling $73.2k bought No on Marine Le Pen winning the 2027 French presidential election, the most money of any market this week. No is priced at 55%, so the market gives Le Pen about a 45% chance, and we lean with the sharps against her.
View market →Two trades totaling $57.5k bought No on Democrats winning South Carolina's 2026 Senate race. No is already priced at 87%, so this is a large bet that the expected result holds, and it carries one of the week's highest scores.
View market →Eight separate trades totaling $40.4k bought No on Missouri enacting a moratorium on data centers by December 31, 2028. No is priced at 60%. Steady buying across eight trades suggests a firm view that the state won't block new AI compute buildout.
View market →One $34.6k trade bought No on the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, the Red Sea shipping route off Yemen, being effectively closed by December 31. No is priced at 85%, so the sharp money expects shipping through the strait to continue.
View market →One $48k trade bought Yes on Anthropic having the highest IPO market cap of 2026. Yes is priced at 48%, roughly a coin flip, and the sharp money is betting on Anthropic.
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