Big bettors are leaning against the home sides in three Champions League matches today and backing the Magic and Hornets in the NBA. This week's largest longer-dated positions are on the Ohio Senate race, Israel's and Serbia's elections, a possible US invasion of Iran and an Anthropic IPO.
About $78.7k across 4 trades went on Como 1907 not beating Manchester United FC, which covers a draw or a United win. That outcome is priced at 57%, so the market already expects Como to fall short, and this money backs it.
View market →About $35.4k across 3 trades backed FC Bayern München not beating Arsenal FC, meaning either a draw or an Arsenal win. That outcome is priced at 53%, close to a coin flip.
View market →About $22.9k across 14 trades went on the Orlando Magic to beat the Atlanta Hawks. The Magic are priced at 56% to win, so this is a bet on the modest favorite.
View market →About $22.7k in 2 trades backed Lille OSC not beating Galatasaray SK, which covers a draw or a Galatasaray win. That outcome is priced at 58%.
View market →About $12.8k across 3 trades went on the Charlotte Hornets to beat the Brooklyn Nets. The Hornets are priced at 46%, so this money is on the slight underdog.
View market →One trade of about $32.2k backed Republicans not winning Ohio's 2026 Senate race. The market prices that outcome at 62%, so this bettor agrees with the market that Republicans are more likely to lose.
View market →About $28.2k across 2 trades backed the U.S. not invading Iran before 2027. The market already prices no invasion at 84%, and this money adds to that view.
View market →One trade of about $23.1k bet that Yashar wins the most seats in Israel's 2026 legislative election. Yashar is priced at 68% to do so, so this backs the favorite.
View market →One trade of about $14.4k backed the Student List – Students Win not winning the most seats in Serbia's 2026 parliamentary election. That outcome is priced at 62%, and the trade carries the highest signal score in this email.
View market →One trade of about $20.8k backed Anthropic going public by December 31, 2026. The market prices that at 74%, so this bettor agrees an IPO this year is likely.
View market →