Soccer: smart money backs Torino FC over AC Monza
Leaning: Yes (46% implied)
Three trades put about $68k on Torino FC to beat AC Monza today. The market prices a Torino win at 46%, so the money is on a slight underdog.
View market →October 23, 2026
Smart money today: Raptors, Dplus KIA, Torino, plus a Senate No bet
Three of today's big flows are in sports and esports, from the NBA to League of Legends Worlds. This week's largest positions are in politics, where big wallets are mostly betting against change: in the US Senate, Israel, France and the White House.
Resolving Today
NBA: sharps pile onto Raptors vs. Wizards
Leaning: Raptors (67% implied)
Fifteen trades put about $46k on the Toronto Raptors to beat the Washington Wizards. The Raptors are priced at 67% to win.
View market →LoL Worlds: smart money on Dplus KIA vs G2 Esports
Leaning: Dplus KIA (60% implied)
Four trades put about $22k on Dplus KIA to beat G2 Esports in a best-of-one League of Legends Worlds group stage match. Dplus KIA is priced at 60% to win.
View market →Top This Week
US Senate: $162k bets Democrats fall short of control
Leaning: No (33% implied)
Five trades put about $162k on Democrats NOT controlling the Senate after the 2026 midterms. That side is priced at only 33%, so the market sees Democratic control as the likelier outcome and this money is betting against it.
View market →France: big money says no state of emergency
Leaning: No (85% implied)
Four trades put about $126k on France NOT declaring a state of emergency by December 31, 2026. That outcome is already priced at 85%, so this is a large, high-conviction bet on the favorite.
View market →Israel: $35k bet against Netanyahu returning as PM
Leaning: No (70% implied)
A single $35k trade bets that Benjamin Netanyahu will NOT be Israel's next prime minister after the next election. The market prices that outcome at 70%.
View market →White House: sharps bet no new press secretary soon
Leaning: No (42% implied)
Five trades put about $27k on no new White House press secretary being announced by November 30, 2026. That side is priced at 42%, so the money is backing the less likely outcome.
View market →College football: smart money says LSU covers vs Auburn
Leaning: LSU (49% implied)
Four trades put about $44k on LSU beating Auburn by more than 7.5 points. The market prices LSU covering that spread at 49%, close to a coin flip.
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