Today's biggest flow is $156k on Newcastle to beat Everton in the Premier League. This week's US midterm markets also drew contrarian bets in Texas and North Carolina.
Five trades totaling about $156k went on Newcastle United to win against Everton today, a result the market prices at 44%. We lean Newcastle to win outright.
View market →One trade of about $11.1k backed RC Deportivo A Coruña to beat CA Osasuna today, a win the market prices at 45%. It's a lone bet, so it's a lighter signal, but we lean Deportivo.
View market →Three trades totaling about $44.5k bet that Republicans will NOT win the Texas governor race, a side priced at just 33% (so the market sees a Republican win as about 67% likely). We lean toward a Republican loss, the contrarian side, and this is the week's highest-scoring signal.
View market →Two trades totaling about $40k backed the Democratic Party to win North Carolina's 13th district House seat, which is tagged a tossup race. The market prices a Democratic win at 38%, and we lean Democrat.
View market →A single trade of about $22.2k bet that an independent will NOT win Nebraska's Senate race, an outcome the market prices at 73%. We lean toward no independent win.
View market →Six trades totaling about $14.8k bet that Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu will NOT be out of office by the end of 2026, a side priced at 58%. We lean Netanyahu stays.
View market →Six trades totaling about $151.5k went on the Seattle Seahawks to beat the Chicago Bears, who are priced at 62% to win. We lean Seahawks.
View market →