Event

Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on June 30?

1 signal across 1 market · $1,522 tracked · resolves Jul 1, 2026

This prediction market tracks whether Anthropic or OpenAI will have the higher private-market valuation on June 30, 2026, based on Nasdaq Private Market’s final NPM Price. PolySpotter is tracking $1,522 in smart-money activity on the event, including a recent “95% winner in thin market” signal that suggests conviction despite limited liquidity.

Markets (1)

  1. Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on June 30?1 signal · $1,522 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. 95% winner in thin market

    Surfaced despite a weak low-activity signal because the wallet has a strong 95% resolved-bet record and is making a large buy in a quiet market.

    $1,522Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 1.7

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0x48265cd5c3$1,522 · 1 market · 1 alert · 95% wins

FAQs

What are the odds for Anthropic vs OpenAI higher valuation?

The odds reflect Polymarket traders’ current view on which company will have the higher private-market valuation on June 30, 2026. Because this is a finance-focused private-market event, pricing can move sharply when new valuation data, funding rounds, or smart-money trades appear.

What does this Anthropic vs OpenAI prediction market resolve on?

The market resolves to the company with the larger private-market valuation as measured by the final NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market for June 30, 2026.

What is the smart money doing in this market?

PolySpotter currently tracks $1,522 in smart-money activity across this event, with one notable signal. The recent alert headline, “95% winner in thin market,” indicates a high-confidence trader entered a relatively low-liquidity market, which can be important context for interpreting the odds.

When does the Anthropic vs OpenAI valuation market resolve?

The event is expected to resolve after the relevant NPM data for June 30, 2026 is published, with the listed resolution time around July 1, 2026. If data is delayed, the market may remain open longer under the market rules.

Why might the odds change before June 30, 2026?

Odds may shift as traders react to new funding rounds, secondary-market valuation updates, AI sector news, revenue reports, strategic partnerships, or large bets from informed wallets.