Rolex Paris Masters: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Sebastian Baez
3 signals across 1 market · $26,823 tracked · resolves Nov 11, 2026
This Rolex Paris Masters prediction market tracks whether Daniel Merida Aguilar or Sebastian Baez advances from their scheduled match. Follow odds on both outcomes and recent smart-money activity, including a reported cluster of wallets betting on Baez.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- Four-wallet Baez cluster with proven bettors
Four wallets, including highly experienced profitable bettors, positioned for Baez amid a major volume spike, though the price has since moved sharply against them.
$16,393Score: 7.4 - Three-wallet tennis buying surge
Three wallets committed $8,230 to Daniel Merida Aguilar amid an extreme volume spike, with multiple high-volume traders adding corroboration.
$8,230Score: 6.4 - Profitable serial cross-market trader
A profitable, highly active trader with a strong historical record sold Baez as a volume spike and sharp price drop reinforced the opposing Daniel Merida Aguilar position.
$2,200Wallet win rate: 67%Score: 4.6
Top wallets in this event
- 0x40f7a7…1f5e$2,200 · 1 market · 1 alert · 67% wins
FAQs
What are the odds for Merida Aguilar vs Sebastian Baez?
The market lists odds for Daniel Merida Aguilar and Sebastian Baez to advance. Check the live market on this page for current prices, which can change as traders update their positions.
What is smart money doing in the Baez match market?
PolySpotter flagged a four-wallet Baez cluster involving proven bettors, alongside a broader three-wallet tennis buying surge. These signals show trading activity, not a guarantee of the match outcome.
Who is being tracked in this prediction market?
The market covers two outcomes: Daniel Merida Aguilar advances against Sebastian Baez, or Sebastian Baez advances against Merida Aguilar.
When does the Rolex Paris Masters match market resolve?
The match was scheduled for November 4, 2026, at 5:00 a.m. ET. The event is listed to resolve by November 11, 2026, at 10:00 a.m. UTC, subject to the market's resolution rules.